Are we in the foothills of World War 3?
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The coalitions are hardening, and the weapons are being deployed.
9 hours ago
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- Bill Kerr
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Remarks at UT on the Pentagon/Anthropic situation - Last Thursday, my friend and colleague Sam Baker, in UT Austin’s English department, convened an “emergency panel” here about the developing Pentagon/Anthr...12 hours ago
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Coyne’s new law - This law, which is mine, is derived solely from watching the NBC Evening News, which is interrupted by a lot of ads for drugs aimed at older people (for CO...12 hours ago
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How to deal with rising oil prices due to the war in Iran - My March 9 interview with John Coogan and Jordi Hays on the popular tech show TBPN13 hours ago
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Jailbreaking the F-35 Fighter Jet - Countries around the world are becoming increasingly concerned about their dependencies on the US. If you’ve purchase US-made F-35 fighter jets, you are ...23 hours ago
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Rethinking climate change - by Nicola Scafetta My new book is now published: The Frontier of Climate Science: Solar Variability, Natural Cycles and Model Uncertainty For more than t...1 day ago
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Epstein as a moment for Democracy? - from Peter Radford I have been busy, so I have not been here lately … But: I have nothing to say about the Epstein files. Except: that the Epstein files ha...1 day ago
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Iran, En-Lai, Napoleon, Mike Tyson and Model Collapse - *Every model that is incapable of recognizing its own failure has already crossed the event horizon into model collapse. * *Let's start by stipulating I a...1 day ago
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Monday Message Board - Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits,...2 days ago
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Un Bar aux Folies-Bergère - Manet’s famous painting Un Bar aux Folies-Bergère never appealed to me. But now I realize its genius, and my spine tingles every time I see it. The perspec...2 days ago
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Rentier Capitalism and the Illusion of Growth - Why does the US debt machine keep running despite $38 trillion in liabilities? Michael Hudson explains how military spending, dollar dominance, financial...3 days ago
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Bridges and Conversations as Pivots - Favorited Never Blow Up Your Bridges by Wouter Groeneveld Wouter talks about the weak ties across the years that in hindsight turn out to be key in making ...3 days ago
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Finally answering the question, “What are students really learning in school?” - The first video below is from 2021. It helps answer a question I’ve had for a long time re. what I’ve seen go on in schools and universities for the past 1...5 days ago
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[Outliers] J.W. Marriott: Building an Empire Without a Master Plan - Bill Marriott built the largest hotel company in the world. But he didn’t open his first hotel until he was 55 and he fought against it the whole way. Pu...5 days ago
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Mass surveillance, red lines, and a crazy weekend - [These are my own opinions, and not representing OpenAI. Crossposted on Lesswrong] AI has so many applications, and AI companies have limited resources and...1 week ago
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Notes on the Fermi Paradox - I recently realized I hadn’t written much in this blog about the Fermi Paradox, though I do write about it elsewhere. So here is a quick note. The Fermi Pa...1 week ago
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A New Explanation for Tariffs and Bombings - Because of energy-related shortages that are already being encountered, national economies are beginning to act like the players in a game of musical chair...1 week ago
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Mass Value Report for February 2026 - No flights to the Moon for now - but work in that direction1 week ago
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AI DOOM: Jesse Hoogland of Timaeus, Manifold episode 106 - This is the second episode of our series based on interviews for the documentary film, Dreamers and Doomers, about the SF Bay Area in the last days before ...1 week ago
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England: Time to replace Computer Science with Computing - This is policy wonk stuff, but I find policy fascinating. As a researcher, it’s hard to figure out “How are most people (students, faculty, whatever) in th...2 weeks ago
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SIGCSE 2026: Love and learning - [image: A brick, circular, windowed facade against a cloudy, sunny morning dawn.]The America’s Center convention center. I didn’t want to go to St. Louis t...2 weeks ago
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ANALYSIS OF THE UKRAINE WAR, 2026 - Bill Kerr Q&A format: What is the situation on the battlefield? The situation changes everyday. To keep up to date follow some of the links here to regular...2 weeks ago
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Processing JSON with Kafka Connect - In this post, I’ll share examples of how to process JSON data in a Kafka Connect pipeline, and explain the schema format that Kafka uses to describe JSON e...2 weeks ago
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Restorative Conferencing: The good, the challenging and the not necessarily ugly. - Image source: MS PPT Recently, while watering my very thirsty Bendigo garden during what has been a particularly harsh summer, I tuned into Ollie Love...3 weeks ago
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Mankind versus YHWH-Elohim - Your Honor, this Complaint seeks declaratory and equitable relief on the ground that the Edenic Covenant was structurally defective ab initio—lacking infor...5 weeks ago
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Deepfake porn is not going away. Recognising that is the first step to dealing with it - In a world in which anyone can create fake sexually explicit images of anyone else, we should not be surprised when it happens, and we should not get esp...2 months ago
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Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01 - Nothing is ever as good as it first seems and nothing is ever as bad as it first seems. — A best memory paraphrase of advice given to me by Vice Admiral Jo...2 months ago
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Market – what market? The catch 22 at the heart of innovation in government - The first of what may be quite a few articles I reproduce here which I wrote for The Mandarin from around 2016 to 2020 or thereabouts (The Mandarin has put...2 months ago
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ACAMIS 2025 Resources by Sylvia Martinez & Gary Stager - New 2025 Materials & Programming Environment Links The Eight Big Ideas Behind Constructionism by Seymour Papert (in multiple languages) Logo books, artic...4 months ago
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Complicating the IPCC Planck Feedback, Plank #4 of Climate Resilience Theory - The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has an idea about how the Earth cools itself: when the planet’s surface warms up, it sends more heat...9 months ago
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